Milwaukee Bucks vs Pacers Stats: Head-to-Head & Predictions

If you’ve been following the Bucks and Pacers lately, you know the scoreboard isn’t the only thing shifting. We combed through the all-time stats, recent results, and betting lines to give you the full picture ahead of their Feb 6, 2026 matchup.

All-time series record: Bucks 122, Pacers 97 ·
Last playoff series: Pacers won 4-1 (2025) ·
Current favorite (Feb 6, 2026): Bucks

Six key facts paint a clearer picture of where this matchup stands today.

Who is favored to win, Bucks or Pacers?

Betting markets and analysts lean toward the Bucks for the Feb 6, 2026 meeting, but the margin is thin.

Current betting odds

• Moneyline: Bucks −130, Pacers +110 (from Fox Sports predictions)
• Spread: Bucks −1.5
• Over/Under: 224.5

Expert picks

• Key factors: Home‑court advantage for the Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, but the Bucks hold a 3‑0 record against Indiana this season (ESPN (NBA stats)).
• Injury uncertainty: Giannis Antetokounmpo left the March 15 game early; his status remains unconfirmed.

The implication: any injury news or line shift could change the betting landscape quickly.

What are the stats for the Bucks?

The Bucks rank slightly below Indiana in raw scoring but hold a tighter defensive rating that tilts games in their favor.

Team offensive and defensive ratings

• Points per game: 110.8 (vs Pacers’ 111.0) (ESPN (NBA stats))
• Points allowed per game: 116.0 (Indiana allows 119.7) (ESPN (NBA stats))
• Current record (snapshot): 27‑39 (Indiana 15‑52) (ESPN (NBA stats))

Key player stats: Giannis, Lillard

• Giannis Antetokounmpo: ranked top‑5 in the NBA by ESPN’s player rankings; averages 31.4 points and 12.2 rebounds in his last five games against the Pacers.
• Damian Lillard: provides perimeter scoring and clutch shot‑making, with averages of 24.1 points and 6.9 assists this season.

The pattern: when the Bucks limit opponents below their season average, they tend to cover spreads and win outright.

Who is Milwaukee’s best player?

There’s no debate: Giannis Antetokounmpo is the engine of the Bucks, with elite two‑way production that places him among the league’s elite.

Giannis Antetokounmpo’s performance

• Ranked in the top 5 by ESPN’s NBA player rankings.
• Against the Pacers this season: scored 31 points in the March 15 game before leaving with an injury (ESPN (NBA stats)).
• Career averages vs Indiana: 26.8 points, 11.4 rebounds, 5.4 assists (Land of Basketball).

Other key players

• Damian Lillard: a seven‑time All‑Star providing shooting and leadership.
• Khris Middleton: playoff‑experienced wing who spaces the floor.

What this means: Milwaukee’s success often hinges on Giannis’ health and ability to dominate the paint.

Who is Pacers’ biggest rival?

The Knicks rivalry has deeper roots, but the Bucks have become the Pacers’ most competitive adversary in the last two seasons.

Knicks rivalry

• The Knicks–Pacers rivalry dates back to the 1990s with classic playoff battles).
• They have met 8 times in the playoffs, with Indiana winning 4 series.

Bucks rivalry context

• Three consecutive seasons of high‑stakes meetings: 2024 first round (Pacers won 4‑2 – Fox Sports), 2025 first round (4‑1), and the current 2025‑26 season series (Bucks up 3‑0).
• Emotionally charged games, including Giannis’ injury and multiple overtime contests.

The catch: while the Knicks rivalry is historic, the Bucks rivalry is more current and intense, shaping playoff positioning.

Is Pacers Bucks best of 7?

The NBA playoffs format dictates that all first‑round series are best‑of‑seven, but the Pacers and Bucks have never played a full seven‑game series.

Playoff series format

• Every NBA playoff round uses a best‑of‑seven format).
• First round: 2‑2‑1‑1‑1 home‑court scheduling.

Past playoff encounters

• All‑time playoff matchup: Pacers lead 14‑5 in games (Land of Basketball (historical data)).
• 2025 series: Pacers won 4‑1, clinching at home in Game 5.
• 2024 series: Pacers won 4‑2 (Fox Sports).

The pattern: Indiana’s playoff success against Milwaukee often comes in five or six games, not the full seven.

The implication: recent history shows the Bucks have dominated this season, but the Pacers have the playoff edge.

For fans eyeing the Feb 6 game, the data points to a tight contest: the Bucks have a slight edge on paper, but the Pacers’ playoff resilience makes them a dangerous underdog. The implication is clear: watch the injury report and home‑court factor – any shift could tip the odds.

For a deeper dive into individual performances from the 2024-25 postseason, the detailed player stats breakdown offers comprehensive box scores from that series.

Frequently asked questions